Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 10.131848 11.449889 12.966259 14.861717 17.199382 20.031861 23.794031
2024-12-15 8.145921 9.801974 11.904598 14.853604 19.032187 25.005243 34.763831
2024-12-22 6.998902 8.751418 11.119005 14.705312 20.319362 29.454655 47.372237
2024-12-29 6.423428 8.292387 10.953958 15.270778 22.691924 36.465014 69.736712
2025-01-05 5.709108 7.513706 10.168128 14.664314 22.890255 39.650189 87.405265
2025-01-12 5.122570 6.839404 9.427090 13.959515 22.673619 41.871792 105.542358
2025-01-19 4.695425 6.351631 8.904460 13.518211 22.822750 45.001230 132.006232
2025-01-26 4.414728 6.055205 8.645018 13.488261 23.793547 50.747122 182.746774
2025-02-02 4.384157 6.140183 9.015510 14.688305 27.862094 68.418353 388.244975
2025-02-09 4.274271 6.084206 9.134210 15.418259 31.136307 87.437783 900.263048
2025-02-16 4.078980 5.868656 8.942765 15.466043 32.659870 101.779491 2034.532079
2025-02-23 3.966536 5.781142 8.971632 15.994744 35.796927 129.284570 14783.168733
2025-03-02 3.723572 5.472079 8.592910 15.629979 36.399199 146.743197 NaN
2025-03-09 3.532781 5.243150 8.351524 15.569323 38.131246 178.914305 NaN
2025-03-16 3.352288 5.016958 8.089172 15.406668 39.484461 215.350310 NaN
2025-03-23 3.264958 4.948524 8.129586 16.012722 44.201161 319.383029 NaN
2025-03-30 3.071553 4.672918 7.720003 15.362457 43.410946 346.541018 NaN
2025-04-06 2.886045 4.400686 7.295062 14.607917 41.881434 356.704075 NaN
2025-04-13 2.740435 4.193669 6.989474 14.136106 41.487836 394.453718 NaN
2025-04-20 2.643597 4.071113 6.850365 14.104103 43.205974 512.834551 NaN
2025-04-27 2.655036 4.151214 7.149439 15.388161 52.747471 1342.865065 NaN
2025-05-04 2.623915 4.147639 7.265930 16.170963 60.690769 4126.320886 NaN
2025-05-11 2.545855 4.047769 7.156310 16.222252 64.144188 11057.281326 NaN